The planet hits a 125,000-year heat record as deaths rise

The latest science links failed incentives, rising heat mortality, and AI-fueled overconfidence.

Jamie Sullivan

Key Highlights

  • Scientists say 2024 likely ranks as the hottest year in 125,000 years, with most planetary vital signs at records.
  • A global health assessment estimates extreme heat now kills one person every minute, undermining labor productivity.
  • A reappraisal finds the 2002 U.S. steel tariffs cut downstream jobs without adding local steel employment.

Across r/science today, threads converged on a clear pattern: systems often defy our intuitions, whether in economics, climate, or cognition. The most upvoted discussions spotlighted where incentives misfire, where planetary warnings demand action, and where technology can nudge our thinking in unexpected directions.

When incentives misfire: norms, policy, and the limits of “doing something”

Several top posts challenged the idea that simple incentives reliably deliver results. A rigorous reappraisal of the Bush-era steel tariffs argued that the 2002 protection of U.S. steel depressed jobs in downstream industries without boosting local steel employment. In service economies, fresh modeling suggests tipping behavior is mainly conformity rather than a performance incentive, which helps explain why tip rates rise even when service quality is uneven. And on public safety, new survey research shows fear of mass shootings can polarize gun views among young adults, with some groups becoming more opposed to restrictions as fear rises.

"Tipping is just a way to justify paying your employees less than they deserve." - u/Krow101 (597 points)

Across these debates, the through-line is that social expectations and behavioral heuristics often overpower the neat logic of policy levers. Tariffs that aim to protect one sector can ripple into prolonged losses elsewhere; norms around gratuity can blunt any effort-based signal; fear can harden identity rather than forge consensus. The community’s takeaway: designing effective interventions means accounting for the hidden currents of conformity, downstream effects, and identity-driven interpretation.

Planetary vital signs and public health: urgency meets pragmatic action

Two major releases framed an escalating climate and health emergency. The latest synthesis described 2024 as likely the hottest year in 125,000 years, with a majority of Earth’s “vital signs” hitting record highs. In parallel, a global health assessment reported rising heat now kills one person every minute, quantifying the staggering daily subsidies to fossil fuels alongside lost labor from heat-stalled work.

"It might sound alarming folks, but remember that we doing next to nothing about this and having political debates all over the globe about doing less." - u/Min_Powers (1040 points)

Amid the alarms, r/science also elevated pragmatic pathways. Lifecycle analyses reinforced that electric vehicles outpace gasoline cars over time, especially as grids decarbonize, while a vascular study suggested everyday tweaks—like flavanol-rich foods—can offset the harms of prolonged sitting. The signal is consistent: big structural changes matter, and small, sustained actions compound.

"Hottest one yet. I honestly don't know what would have to happen for those in power to actually act on this." - u/vector_o (335 points)

Tech, cognition, and perception: confidence, clarity, and patience

On the human-tech edge, researchers reported that interacting with AI flips a familiar bias: the typical Dunning–Kruger gap disappears, and AI-literate users become even more overconfident, likely due to cognitive offloading. The community emphasized verification over vibes, pushing back on the allure of frictionless answers.

"Might this have something to do with LLMs being sycophantic… I do use LLMs occasionally but only for things where I can easily verify that the LLM is correct." - u/mcoombes314 (1133 points)

Meanwhile, everyday perception met hard limits: vision researchers concluded that in common living-room setups, ultra‑HD resolutions often offer no added benefit over lower-resolution screens of the same size. And in neuroscience, new evidence showed dopamine can slightly increase willingness to wait, nudging choices toward patience rather than impulsivity—an insight that pairs neatly with the call to slow down, verify, and choose tools and habits that truly align with how we see, think, and decide.

Every subreddit has human stories worth sharing. - Jamie Sullivan

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Sources

TitleUser
The George W. Bush administration's 2002 steel tariffs caused substantial economic harm without any observed benefits. The tariffs failed at boosting local steel employment, while substantially depressing local employment in steel-consuming industries for many years after Bush removed the tariffs.
10/29/2025
u/smurfyjenkins
8,355 pts
When interacting with AI tools like ChatGPT, everyoneregardless of skill leveloverestimates their performance. Researchers found that the usual Dunning-Kruger Effect disappears, and instead, AI-literate users show even greater overconfidence in their abilities.
10/29/2025
u/mvea
4,113 pts
2024 may have been Earth's hottest year in at least 125,000 years, according to a grim climate report published today, that describes our world as "on the brink" and warns its "vital signs are flashing red," with nearly two-thirds showing record highs.
10/29/2025
u/ChiefLeef22
3,613 pts
Sitting has often been referred to as the new smoking thanks to its negative health benefits Researchers found the flavanols in cocoa have been found to block its detrimental effects on blood vessels.
10/29/2025
u/chrisdh79
3,543 pts
Contrary to common belief, tipping is not an effective incentive for improving service. Since most people tip out of conformity, servers expect to receive a tip regardless of effort. Even though tipping may not lead to better service, conformity may drive tipping rates even higher.
10/29/2025
u/mvea
2,304 pts
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10/29/2025
u/PhorosK
795 pts
Your ultra-HD TV may not be worth it. Scientists measure the resolution limit of the human eye. For an average-size UK living room, with 2.5 metres between the TV and the sofa, a 44-inch 4K or 8K TV would not provide any additional benefit over a lower resolution Quad HD (QHD) TV of the same size.
10/29/2025
u/mvea
706 pts
Electric vehicles outperform gasoline cars in lifetime environmental impact. After two years of use, lithium-ion battery electric vehicles (BEVs) result in a reduction in cumulative carbon dioxide (CO₂) emissions compared to fossil-based internal combustion engine (ICE) vehicles.
10/29/2025
u/PhorosK
686 pts
Dopamine slightly increases willingness to wait for rewards, reducing impulsivity by around 20%, contradicting previous studies that suggested dopamine increases impulsive choices.
10/29/2025
u/nohup_me
620 pts
For young Republicans and men, fear of mass shootings fuels opposition to gun control. While most young Americans fear mass shootings, that fear doesnt bring them togetherit often reinforces divisions, with some growing even more opposed to gun restrictions, according to a new study.
10/29/2025
u/PhorosK
515 pts